Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Lebanese-American mathematical statistician, option trader, risk analyst and author (born 1960)
Lebanese-American mathematical statistician, option trader, risk analyst and author (born 1960)
Every podcast episode featuring Nassim Nicholas Taleb that Attunex has found: 62 interviews and appearances across 38 shows between 2007 and 2026. Most often on EconTalk (10), N N Taleb's Probability Questions (UNOFFICIAL) (9) and The James Altucher Show (3). Often in conversation with Tim Ferriss. Follow Nassim in Attunex to get new appearances automatically, each with an on-device transcript and summary.
Follow Nassim Nicholas Taleb in AttunexUpdated 2026-10-14.
O podcast Leiam Mais Livros explora o conceito revolucionário de Antifrágil: Coisas que se Beneficiam com o Caos, do escritor e trader Nassim Nicholas Taleb. Enquanto o frágil se quebra com o…
Hai presente le tue previsioni a tre anni, il mutuo calcolato al millimetro e l'idea che il futuro sia una linea retta? Secondo Nassim Nicholas Taleb, stai vivendo come il tacchino dell'allevatore:…
📝【本期要点】 等一封迟迟不来的邮件、等面试结果、等喜欢的人回复，或者计划被一个无法推进的环节卡住——有些时候，最难受的未必是坏结果，而是那个不知道何时结束的“悬而未决”。越想快点确定下来，我们越想把人生重新抓回手里。…
Stoic philosopher Seneca was notoriously rich. Yet, in his writings, he never has a good word to say about luxury or riches. This tension between word and deed has been noticed even in Seneca's own…
The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (Nassim Nicholas Taleb) - Amazon India Store: https://www.amazon.in/dp/B00139XTG4?tag=9natreehindi-21 - Amazon Worldwide Store:…
Ever wonder how some people don’t just survive chaos but seem to thrive in it? In this deep dive, we’ll explore the concept of *antifragility*—the idea that, rather than merely enduring life’s…
In ’n wêreld van hiper-optimalisering waarsku Nassim Taleb se konsep van antibroosheid dat stelsels wat net op doeltreffendheid fokus, kwesbaar raak vir onverwagte skokke. Soos spiere sterker word…
The RBA has raised rates again, property owners are weighing whether to sell, and a listener is rebalancing heifers. Against that backdrop, Jacob and Steve go through a risk hierarchy special. They…
Skin in the Game: Hidden Asymmetries in Daily Life (Nassim Nicholas Taleb) - Amazon Poland Store: https://www.amazon.pl/dp/0425284646?tag=9natreepoland-21 - Amazon Worldwide Store:…
Today's episode teaches optionality — Nassim Taleb's principle of paying a small, capped cost to hold a right without an obligation, keeping your downside fixed while your upside stays open. We trace…
Il 19 febbraio 2020 la borsa americana era al massimo storico: 33 giorni dopo aveva perso un terzo del suo valore, il crollo più veloce della storia, e nessuno l'aveva previsto. Questo è un cigno…
Giocati dal caso: Il ruolo della fortuna nella finanza e nella vita (Nassim Nicholas Taleb) - Amazon Italian Store: https://www.amazon.it/dp/B07SLY4D23?tag=9natreeitz-21 - Amazon Worldwide Store:…
Can uncertainty make you stronger and does Antifragile actually show you how? In this Mere Mortals Book Review, Juan explores Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder by Nassim Nicholas Taleb.…
Join Dylan and Alisha as we discuss Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets by Nassim Nicholas Taleb and examine how easily we can mistake luck for skill, patterns…
Nassim Taleb's test for real wealth, and why deciding when to refuse the mathematically better option is a judgment no model was built to make.
本集將會分享這本書 書名: 黑天鵝效應 The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable 作者簡介 納西姆 尼可拉斯 塔雷伯 Nassim Nicholas Taleb 現於紐約大學（New York University）任特聘教授。著作有《隨機的致富陷阱》（Fooled by Randomness）和《黑天鵝效應》。 譯者簡介 林茂昌…
Over the past six months, the tech industry and capital markets were drowned in absolute certainties: exponential compute growth was deemed inevitable, big-tech CapEx was locked in stone, and…
Get the 200+ Page Optimal Living Daily Workbook (PDF) - Free. Want to turn today's episode into an actionable plan? Join the Optimal Living Weekly newsletter and I'll send you our 200-page digital…
風會吹熄蠟燭，卻令營火燒得更旺。 Nassim Taleb 在《反脆弱》想送你一個會改變你看世界方法的新概念：脆弱，一撞就散；強韌，撞極原地企定；而反脆弱，是越撞越強。 你的肌肉、你的骨、進化、好的觀念，全都是反脆弱——適量的壓力不是傷害，是養分，而剝奪壓力才最傷。 這一集免費導讀，帶你認識這個三分法，以及為何在一個黑天鵝的世界，你控制不到那陣風，卻控制得到自己是蠟燭還是火。 🎙️…
On the surface, the tech industry has been immersed in an intoxicating large-model carnival. Press conferences trumpet that Artificial General Intelligence is right around the corner, autonomous…
Je gagne si cela fonctionne. Vous payez si cela échoue. Pour Nassim Nicholas Taleb, cette asymétrie est à la racine d'une grande partie des dysfonctionnements de nos sociétés modernes. Banquiers…
Le Cygne Noir de Nassim Nicholas Taleb : La Puissance de l’Imprévisible Bienvenue dans ce nouvel épisode de notre podcast dédié aux livres qui transforment notre vision du monde. Aujourd’hui, nous…
🍀📉 Suerte y riesgo: Por qué confundir azar con habilidad arruina carteras ¿Comprar una acción que sube un 80% te convierte en un genio financiero o simplemente estuviste en el lado favorable de una…
Chaos Kings (Scott Patterson) - Amazon Sweden Store: https://www.amazon.se/dp/1982179945?tag=9natreeswe-21 - Amazon Worldwide Store: https://global.buys.trade/Chaos-Kings-Scott-Patterson.html - Apple…
Welcome to PerilCrosser EN. Today, we're dissecting Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s masterpiece Skin in the Game —not as sterile business school theory, but as an unapologetic, ground-level survival manual…
The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (Nassim Nicholas Taleb) - Amazon USA Store: https://www.amazon.com/dp/B00139XTG4?tag=9natree-20 - Amazon Worldwide Store:…
The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (Nassim Nicholas Taleb) - Amazon USA Store: https://www.amazon.com/dp/B00139XTG4?tag=9natree-20 - Amazon Worldwide Store:…
Chaos Kings (Scott Patterson) - Amazon USA Store: https://www.amazon.com/dp/1982179945?tag=9natree-20 - Amazon Worldwide Store: https://global.buys.trade/Chaos-Kings-Scott-Patterson.html - Apple…
The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (Nassim Nicholas Taleb) - Amazon USA Store: https://www.amazon.com/dp/1400063515?tag=9natree-20 - Amazon Worldwide Store:…
What if the systems that appear most stable are sometimes the ones whose hidden risks we understand least? Welcome to Crisis in Perception, where we examine the systems shaping our world. Using The…
Olet jo laittamassa lapsen unohtamaa vesipulloa reppuun, ennen kuin ehdit kysyä, onko tämä oikeasti auttamista vai harjoituksen poistamista. Antifragile kuulostaa helposti kovalta puheelta.…
In this episode, we examine the collapse of Arizona’s Biosphere 2 project, where trees grown in a windless utopia snapped under their own weight because they lacked the structural “stress wood”…
Nassim Taleb’in entelektüel duruşu, finansal piyasalardaki asimetri teorisi ve risk yönetimi felsefesi , modern dünyadaki sistemik krizleri anlamak için bütünsel bir çerçeve sunmaktadır. Ortaya konan…
The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (Nassim Nicholas Taleb) - Amazon India Store: https://www.amazon.in/dp/B016GW6EXC?tag=9natreehindi-21 - Amazon Worldwide Store:…
Skin in the Game: Hidden Asymmetries in Daily Life (Nassim Nicholas Taleb) - Amazon Türkiye Store: https://www.amazon.com.tr/dp/0425284646?tag=9natreetr-21 - Amazon Worldwide Store:…
The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (Nassim Nicholas Taleb) - Amazon Poland Store: https://www.amazon.pl/dp/B00139XTG4?tag=9natreepoland-21 - Amazon Worldwide Store:…
⚖️ Você confiaria no conselho de alguém que lucra quando acerta, mas não perde absolutamente nada quando está errado? Neste episódio, exploramos o provocador livro Arriscando a Própria Pele:…
Chaos Kings (Scott Patterson) - Amazon Poland Store: https://www.amazon.pl/dp/1982179945?tag=9natreepoland-21 - Amazon Worldwide Store: https://global.buys.trade/Chaos-Kings-Scott-Patterson.html -…
Explore the revolutionary concepts of Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s Antifragile . This deep dive examines how systems thrive under pressure and disorder. We analyse the transition from fragile to robust,…
Most of us have been told that resilience is the goal. To bounce back. To withstand the hard things. But what if there is something beyond resilience? Nassim Nicholas Taleb introduced a concept in…
【本期摘要】 当你精心规划的五年人生被一只"黑天鹅"瞬间清零，你才发现：安全感从来不是世界的底色。这期节目，我们从塔勒布的黎巴嫩废墟出发，拆解人类为何总在风暴来临前最自信。 【书中回响】 🦃 火鸡被喂养了一千天，每一天的饱食都在加固"明天依然安全"的信念——直到第1001天下午，屠夫拿起了刀。 📰…
The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (Nassim Nicholas Taleb) - Amazon Türkiye Store: https://www.amazon.com.tr/dp/B00139XTG4?tag=9natreetr-21 - Amazon Worldwide Store:…
Chaos Kings (Scott Patterson) - Amazon Türkiye Store: https://www.amazon.com.tr/dp/1982179945?tag=9natreetr-21 - Amazon Worldwide Store: https://global.buys.trade/Chaos-Kings-Scott-Patterson.html -…
Nassim Nicholas Taleb hosted Geoff for a casual conversation in his library. Their discussion began with books and meandered through a dozen topics before concluding for supper. Show notes at the…
Intellectuels, chefs d'entreprises, artistes, hommes et femmes politiques... Frédéric Taddeï reçoit des personnalités de tous les horizons pour éclairer différemment et prendre du recul sur…
Antifrágil: Las cosas que se benefician del desorden (Nassim Nicholas Taleb) - Amazon Español Store: https://www.amazon.es/dp/8408149636?tag=9natreespain-21 - Amazon Worldwide Store:…
In this episode, we analyse Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s Skin in the Game , focusing on the vital symmetry between risk and reward. We explore why personal exposure to consequences defines justice and…
Join us for a deep dive into Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s The Black Swan . We explore how extreme, unpredictable events shape our world while experts remain blind to their impact. From the Sydney Opera…
Jugarse la piel: Asimetrías ocultas en la vida cotidiana (Nassim Nicholas Taleb) - Amazon Español Store: https://www.amazon.es/dp/8408247468?tag=9natreespain-21 - Amazon Worldwide Store:…
Il futuro non si può prevedere. Punto. Eppure ogni giorno milioni di italiani prendono decisioni finanziarie come se lo sapessero già. In questo video scoprirai le idee rivoluzionarie di Nassim Taleb…
Podcast : Comprendre l’Antifragilité avec Nassim Nicholas Taleb Dans ce nouvel épisode de notre podcast, nous plongeons au cœur de l’œuvre magistrale de Nassim Nicholas Taleb : Antifragile : Les…
· Why outsourcing trials & errors to the past is called tradition, and what has it to do with olive oil? · It’s pretty clear to all of us that jumping 100 times from 1 m and one time from 100 meters…
📝 本期播客简介 本期《跨国串门计划》克隆了主持人约瑟夫·诺埃尔·沃克与纳西姆·尼古拉斯·塔勒布的深度思想对谈。 Nassim Taleb — Meditations on Extremistan 原播客更新时间： Sep 20, 2024…
El cisne negro: El impacto de lo altamente improbable (Nassim Nicholas Taleb) - Amazon Español Store: https://www.amazon.es/dp/8408008544?tag=9natreespain-21 - Amazon Worldwide Store:…
🎲《隨機騙局》：看穿成功背後的機率陷阱 納西姆．塔雷伯（Nassim Taleb）在《隨機騙局》中深刻揭示：我們眼中的許多「成功」，可能只是隨機性披上了名為「能力」的外衣。這篇心得分享了如何從對確定性的執著中解脫，擁抱不確定性的智慧。 核心觀點有二： 📵區分「訊號」與「雜訊」，看見另類歷史：…
Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s book, Fooled by Randomness , investigates how human beings frequently mistake luck for skill in both professional markets and daily life. The author, a seasoned mathematical…
【混亂不是威脅，而是你最強大的燃料！】 在這個變化速度快到讓人窒息的時代，我們總是試圖追求穩定、消除風險。但納西姆．塔雷伯（Nassim Nicholas Taleb）在思想巨作《反脆弱》中告訴我們： 這種對「穩定」的執著，正是讓我們變得無比脆弱的根源！…
📝 本期播客简介 本期我们克隆了： 全球顶级访谈类播客《提姆·费里斯秀》（The Tim Ferriss Show） 原播客更新时间：2023年9月7日 这是一场关于“不确定性”的巅峰对话。主持人 Tim Ferriss…
🏛️ 塔雷伯的《反脆弱》：從混亂與波動中獲益 這篇文章探討了納西姆．塔雷伯（Nassim Taleb）最震撼人心的哲學概念——「反脆弱」。在充滿不確定性的黑天鵝時代，僅僅追求「強韌」是不夠的，我們更需要的是從波動中成長的能力。 核心觀點有二： 🥨反脆弱超越了強韌：…
📝 本期播客简介 本期我们克隆了：硅谷顶尖思想对谈《#BLOCKCON - Fireside Chat》 #BLOCKCON - Day 2 (Oct 11) - Fireside Chat: Nassim Nicholas Taleb & Naval Ravikant…
Welcome to Crisis in Perception.In this Deep Dive, we explore Fooled by Randomness by Nassim Nicholas Taleb — a foundational work on probability, uncertainty, and the human tendency to mistake luck…
Modern leadership discourse is saturated with abstractions: vision, values, strategy, alignment. These words are cheap. They float easily above reality. What is scarce—vanishingly scarce in large…
An ETH sponsored meeting and debate between Nassim Taleb and Didier Sornette. Edited to eliminate the parts of the conversation not involving either but otherwise comprehensive.A "diplomatic debate"…
A presentation at USJ during the Lebanese protests that was live on TV.In the Lebanese "dialect". Original video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=53uW9Xd_JRU
Paper in Nature Physics on "the dog wags the tails", how pandemics are fat tailed and the implications.https://www.nature.com/articles/s4156...We also discuss the dangers of verbalistic users of…
TOPICS: 2nd law, generative AI, computational Irreducibility, climate modeling.Stephen Wolfram's discussion with participants at the Real World Risk Institute Summer School 2024, with Nassim Nicholas…
Geoengineering -- Mao's Four Pest Problem -- Brexit -- How antagonism between bad politicians can turn into good government -- The "LongTermism" nonsense of SBF -- The Final ChapterOriginal video:…
Why Ilmanen-style "simulations" of tail performance are both theoretically and empirically flawed because of 1) need to extrapolate extremes, and 2) The Niederhoffer problem.The birth of the…
+The Turkey Problem Meeting Mandelbrot & discovering a wealth of processes generating grey swans Meeting Kahneman The 3-day meeting with the Harvard geneticist George Church, involving Elon Musk,…
Scott Patterson discusses with Nassim N Taleb his book Chaos Kings, chapter by chapter. This is Part 1.Original video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VuoCxJ9y8-0
A discussion with Pierre Zalloua about his book Ancestors on the Genetic & Cultural History of the Levant. It is the first scientific history of the area, which debunks many historical…
Nassim Nicholas Taleb: Ron Paul Institute Conference 2025 by Ron Paul Liberty Report
Every day we're inundated with headlines that are seemingly unbelievable. Multiple major wars are ongoing. Politics is erratic. Markets are scrambling everyone's brains. So how should we live and…
When Dr. Nassim Nicholas Taleb looks to the future, he doesn’t see the randomness of a roll of the dice, but a hidden order shaped by probability distributions and rooted in history. For him,…
First on today's show, Ralph welcomes author, statistician, and professor Nassim Nicholas Taleb to discuss the wars in Gaza and Lebanon and give us his take on the election results. Then, Ralph and…
Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature a conversation with Nassim Taleb, Sebastien Page and Harvard Coach…
Universa Investments Senior Scientific Advisor Nassim Nicholas Taleb and Wall Street Journal Reporter and best-selling author, Scott Patterson discuss "Chaos Kings: How Wall Street Traders Make…
Nassim Taleb is trader, researcher and essayist. He is the author of the Incerto, a multi-volume philosophical and practical meditation on uncertainty. Full transcript available at:…
As the market rebounds from its sell-off, the Nikkei 225 posts its best day since October 2008 . A federal U.S. judge ruled that Google has illegally held a monopoly . Former SEC Chair Jay Clayton…
This episode is a two-for-one, and that’s because the podcast recently hit its 10-year anniversary and passed one billion downloads. To celebrate, I’ve curated some of the best of the best—some of my…
The consumer is doing just fine, even on the low-end. Two of our guests are making that point today. One of them says they’re taking cuts off the table until at least December, while the other says…
A Note from James:I am thrilled to celebrate the 10th anniversary of my podcast. Occasionally, I'll feature some timeless episodes as if they're brand new, sharing those that have greatly impacted…
Brought to you by AG1 all-in-one nutritional supplement, Helix Sleep premium mattresses, and LinkedIn Jobs recruitment platform with 900M+ users. Nassim Nicholas Taleb (@nntaleb) spent 21 years as a…
Nassim Nicholas Taleb ( @nntaleb ), the author of “ The Black Swan ” and “ Antifragile ," joins episode 83 of The Julia La Roche show alongside veteran Wall Street Journal reporter Scott Patterson (…
Nassim Taleb has never been shy about expressing his viewpoints on a wide range of topics. But lately he's been getting into verbal tussles with people who have long looked up to his wisdom. Whether…
Today is the day of the official launch of Chadi’s first book “Toxic Exposure: The True Story behind the Monsanto Trials and the Search for Justice.” Throughout the book, Chadi details his experience…
Nassim Nicholas Taleb, author of Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder, joins The James Altucher Show to discuss technology and how different systems handle disorder. As humans evolve,…
Jean-Philippe Marceau nous donne les clés d’un bon récit avec l’essayiste Nassim Taleb. | L’abbé de la rue Claude Paradis nous dévoile les secrets que le pape lui a confiés en personne. | Simon…
Sentralbankene i Europa hever renten for å bekjempe inflasjonen, samtidig som verden står midt i en stor energikrise. Nå som rentene er på kraftig vei oppover, er flere kritiske til sentralbankenes…
A language, a flag, a national anthem and shared history—like a heart that has to pump harder to support a heavier body, the bigger a nation gets, the harder to curate an identity. Nassim Nicholas…
If there is opportunity in every crisis, how can companies benefit from uncertainty and chaos in practice? The essayist and author of "The Black Swan", Nassim Nicholas Taleb, explains why external…
Si en toda crisis hay oportunidad, ¿cómo pueden las empresas en la práctica beneficiarse de la incertidumbre y el caos? El ensayista y autor de “El cisne negro”, Nassim Nicholas Taleb, nos explica…
Stephen Wolfram plays the role of Salonnière in this new, on-going series of intellectual explorations with special guests, this time specifically with Nassim Nicholas Taleb. Watch all of the…
Stephen Wolfram plays the role of Salonnière in this new, on-going series of intellectual explorations with special guests, this time specifically with Nassim Nicholas Taleb. Watch all of the…
COVID-19 has changed the fundamentals of our global economy, and introduced us to a new version of normality. But is the coronavirus pandemic the Black Swan of our generation? We speak about this and…
Nassim Nicholas Taleb talks about the pandemic with EconTalk host Russ Roberts. Topics discussed include how to handle the rest of this pandemic and the next one, the power of the mask, geronticide,…
Sist ut i årets sommarserie är Nassim Nicholas Taleb, en statistiker och trader som balanserar på gränsen mellan genialitet och galenskap. Nassim har skrivit ett antal fantastiska böcker såsom Fooled…
American essayist, scholar and former trader Nassim Nicholas Taleb, whose work focuses on problems of randomness, probability, and uncertainty, discusses his latest book "Skin in the Game". Nassim…
Seien Sie dabei, wenn Nassim Nicholas Taleb gemeinsam mit Hans-Jürgen Jakobs, Senior Editor, Handelsblatts den Umgang mit Risiko und Verantwortung in Politik, Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft hinterfragt…
Though what Taleb was really after was a discussion with Bryan Caplan (which starts at 51:50), the philosopher, mathematician, and author most recently of *Skin in the Game* also generously agreed to…
In a world where some people have certain advantages that others do not, how do you navigate the landscape while still acting ethically? My guest today argues that we all need to put some more skin…
Former derivatives trader turned philosophical essayist,Nassim Nicholas Taleb, joins us to talk about his new book, ‘Skin in the Game,” about the role risk and reward plays not only in politics but…
Nassim Nicholas Taleb, author of Skin in the Game, talks with EconTalk host Russ Roberts about the ideas in the book. This is the third episode of EconTalk with Taleb related to the general topic of…
Nassim Nicholas Taleb talks with EconTalk host Russ Roberts about the manuscript version of his forthcoming book, Skin in the Game. Topics discussed include the role of skin in the game in labor…
Varför har vi så svårt att göra något åt klimathotet, trots att vi vet att riskerna kan vara gigantiska om vi inte snabbt lyckas minska våra utsläpp av växhusgaser? Lyssna på alla avsnitt i Sveriges…
Nassim Nicholas Taleb, author of Antifragile, Black Swan, and Fooled by Randomness, talks with EconTalk host Russ Roberts about a recent co-authored paper on the risks of genetically modified…
Nassim Taleb, author of Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder, joins The James Altucher Show to talk about technology and how different systems handle disorder.Just as humans evolve, technology…
Nassim Taleb of NYU-Poly talks with EconTalk host Russ Roberts about his recent paper (with Constantine Sandis) on the morality and effectiveness of "skin in the game." When decision makers have skin…
Based on his continuing exploration of the decision making process under opaque circumstances, Nassim Taleb, author of The Black Swan and Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder, shares how the…
Based on his continuing exploration of the decision making process under opaque circumstances, Nassim Taleb, author of The Black Swan and Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder, shares how the…
This week: What is ‘rare’? When we say something is rare what do we mean? Lightning strikes which typically kill three people a year in the UK are often described as rare but how do we square that…
Why was the estimate, in 2003, for Eastern Europeans coming to the UK so wrong? Which is better when communicating information words or numbers? Nassim Taleb explains anti-fragility And we'll debunk…
Our analysts discuss the jobs report, Citigroup layoffs, and the SEC investigation of Netflix CEO Reed Hastings Plus, Nassim Taleb discusses his new book, Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder.…
Janan Ganesh of The Economist speaks to Downing Street's favourite intellectual, Nassim Nicolas Taleb - author of the best selling book The Black Swan - to investigate his political appeal. Producer:…
Nassim Taleb, author of Fooled By Randomness and The Black Swan, talks with EconTalk host Russ Roberts about antifragility, the concept behind Taleb's next book, a work in progress. Taleb talks about…
Nassim Taleb is a literary essayist hedge fund manager derivatives trader and professor of risk engineering at The Polytechnic Institute of New York University. But he is best known these days as the…
Nassim Taleb, author of The Black Swan and Fooled by Randomness, talks with EconTalk host Russ Roberts about his latest thoughts on robustness, fragility, debt, insurance, uncertainty, exercise,…
Nassim Taleb talks with EconTalk host Russ Roberts about the financial crisis, how we misunderstand rare events, the fragility of the banking system, the moral hazard of government bailouts, the…
### Dispatches from Extremistan A "black swan," Taleb explained, is an event which is 1) Hard to predict; 2) Highly consequential; 3) Wrongly retro-predicted. We pretend we know why the big event…
People who predict the future well are sometimes said to be psychic. But we all make predictions about the future, with more or less success. We confidently predict the sun will rise tomorrow, that…
Nassim Taleb talks about the challenges of coping with uncertainty, predicting events, and understanding history. This wide-ranging conversation looks at investment, health, history and other areas…